Everything is gambling now: the latest news on prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi

4 days ago 5

Prediction markets volition fto you stake connected conscionable astir anything, from however galore tweets Elon Musk volition station this week to the adjacent president of the United States, with predictions sometimes showing shockingly (or suspiciously) spot-on accuracy. Polymarket’s CEO Shayne Copland has adjacent claimed that prediction markets are “the astir close happening we person arsenic mankind close now.”

However, these platforms blur the lines — successful presumption of some relation and regularisation — betwixt gambling and banal trading. As Bloomberg’s Joe Weisenthal said on The Vergecast, “All of the lines betwixt trading, speculating, [and] gambling are conscionable being wholly torn apart.”

There are besides ethical concerns surfacing astir prediction markets, similar whether it’s acceptable to beryllium capable to spot a stake connected virtually everything, on with concerns astir insider trading. For instance, a newly-created Polymarket relationship made implicit $400,000 successful January betting connected the seizure of Venezuelan person Nicolás Maduro.

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